4.3 Article

Early and late ventricular arrhythmias complicating ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

Journal

ARCHIVES OF CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASES
Volume 115, Issue 1, Pages 4-16

Publisher

ELSEVIER MASSON, CORP OFF
DOI: 10.1016/j.acvd.2021.10.012

Keywords

ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction; Ventricular arrhythmia; Prognosis; Risk score

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This study describes the incidence, predictors, and in-hospital impact of early and late ventricular arrhythmias in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Early ventricular arrhythmia is more common than late ventricular arrhythmia and is associated with a higher risk of in-hospital all-cause mortality.
Background. - Ventricular arrhythmias can be life-threatening complications of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Aims. - To describe the incidence, predictors and in-hospital impact of early ventricular arrhythmia (EVA, occurring < day 2 after STEMI) and late ventricular arrhythmia (LVA, occurring > day 2 after STEMI) in patients with STEMI. Methods. - Data from 13,523 patients enrolled in a prospective registry were analysed. Logistic and Cox regressions were performed to identify predictors of EVA, LVA and in-hospital all-cause mortality. Predictors of LVA were used to build a risk score. Results. - EVA occurred in 678 patients (5%), whereas 120 patients (0.9%) experienced LVA, at a median timing of 3 days after STEMI. EVA was associated with a significantly higher risk of all cause mortality (hazard ratio: 1.44, 95% confidence interval: 1.17-1.76; P = 0.001), whereas no association was observed with LVA (hazard ratio 0.86, 95% confidence interval 0.57-1.28; P = 0.45). Multivariable predictors of LVA were: age > 65 years; serum creatinine > 85 mu mol/L on admission; pulse pressure < 45 mmHg on admission; presence of a Q wave on admission electrocardiogram; Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction flow grade < 3 after percutaneous coronary intervention; and left ventricular ejection fraction < 45%. The score derived from these variables allowed the classification of patients into four risk categories: low (0-21); low to-intermediate (22-34); intermediate-to-high (35-44); and high (> 45). Observed LVA rates were 0.2%, 0.3%, 0.9% and 2.5%, across the four risk categories, respectively. The model demonstrated good discrimination (20-fold cross-validated c-statistic of 0.76) and adequate calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow P = 0.23). Conclusions. - EVA is 5-fold more common than LVA in the setting of STEMI, and portends a higher risk of in-hospital all-cause mortality. LVA is mainly associated with the patient's baseline risk profile and surrogate markers of larger infarct size. We developed and internally validated a risk score identifying patients at high risk of LVA for whom early intensive care unit discharge may not be suitable. (c) 2021 Elsevier Masson SAS. All rights reserved.

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