Journal
HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES
Volume 61, Issue 8, Pages 1383-1394Publisher
TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2015.1035658
Keywords
summer precipitation; source region of the Yellow River; sea-surface temperature; ENSO
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Funding
- Natural Science Foundation of China [40830639]
- MECW project from Sweden Science Research Council [2009-1056]
- Chinese Academy of Sciences [2012T1Z0029]
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The summer precipitation (June-September) in the source region of the Yellow River accounts for about 70% of the annual total, playing an important role in water availability. This study divided the source region of the Yellow River into homogeneous zones based on precipitation variability using cluster analysis. Summer precipitation trends and teleconnections with global sea-surface temperatures (SST) and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) from 1961 to 2010 were investigated by Mann-Kendall test and Pearson product-moment correlation analysis. The results show that the northwest part (Zone 1) had a non-significantly increasing trend, and the middle and southeast parts (zones 2 and 3) that receive the most precipitation displayed a statistically significant decreasing trend for summer precipitation. The summer precipitation in the whole region showed statistically significant negative correlations with the central Pacific SST for 0-4 month lag and with the Southern Indian and Atlantic oceans SST for 5-8 month lag. Analyses of sub-regions reveal intricate and complex correlations with different SST areas that further explain the summer precipitation variability. The SOI had significant positive correlations, mainly for 0-2 months lag, with summer precipitation in the source region of the Yellow River. It is seen that El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events have an influence on summer precipitation, and the predominant negative correlations indicate that higher SST in equatorial Pacific areas corresponding to El Nino coincides with less summer precipitation in the source region of the Yellow River.
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