4.6 Article

Structural evolution of real estate industry in China: 2002-2017

Journal

STRUCTURAL CHANGE AND ECONOMIC DYNAMICS
Volume 57, Issue -, Pages 45-56

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2021.01.010

Keywords

Real estate industry; Structural evolution; Network analysis; Input-output tables

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This paper proposes an innovative framework to identify the structural characteristics and evolution process of the real estate industry in China. The study suggests that the growth momentum and systematic risk of the real estate industry should be addressed with tailored macro-prudential policies and guiding policies. Additionally, meeting citizens' demand for improved housing and promoting housing consumption upgrades are crucial.
This paper proposes an innovative framework that identifies the structural characteristics and the evo-lution process of real estate industry in China from 2002 to 2017 through a series of modified network analysis methods. Our results suggest that the growth momentum of real estate industry can be extended to a wide range of industries especially the financial industry while the systematic risk of the industry is becoming evident. Therefore, macro-prudential policies tailored to local conditions should continue to be the first line of defense. In addition, guiding policies towards professional service for developers are supposed to be emphasized since Chinese real estate industry is within the transition from construction -oriented towards service-oriented. Moreover, to satisfy the demand of citizens for improved housing and promote the upgrading of housing consumption is also critical because the role as supplier of housing in macroeconomy is becoming increasingly important according to our calculation. (c) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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