Journal
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY
Volume 22, Issue 2, Pages 351-393Publisher
OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1093/jeg/lbab011
Keywords
Refugee-migrant gap; assimilation; dispersal policies; initial conditions
Funding
- Nuffield Foundation [OPD/42944]
- Ramon Areces Foundation
- Ministerio Economia y Competitividad (Spain) [MDM 2014-0431]
- Comunidad de Madrid, MadEco-CM [S2015/HUM-3444]
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The study shows that refugees have worse labor market outcomes compared to other migrants, with lower likelihood of employment and higher unemployment rates. Economic conditions and migration policies can influence the integration paths of refugees, but factors such as economic recession and spatial dispersal policies do not fully explain the observed refugee gaps.
We study the labour market performance of refugees vis-a-vis comparable migrants across 20 European countries and over time. In the first part of our analysis, we document that labour market outcomes for refugees are consistently worse than those for other migrants. Refugees are 11.6% less likely to have a job and 22% more likely to be unemployed than other migrants with similar characteristics. Their income, occupational quality and labour market participation are also relatively weaker. These gaps are larger relative to economic than non-economic migrants, and persist until about 10-15 years after immigration. In the second part of our analysis, we investigate the role of economic conditions and migration and asylum policy regimes at the time of arrival in shaping integration paths of refugees. First, we find that immigrating in a recession produces scarring effects for all migrants but no differential effect for forced migrants, leaving little role for this channel to explain observed refugee gaps. Secondly, we focus on the impact on refugees of being subject to spatial dispersal policies. Our estimates imply that dispersed refugees experience a persistent impact on their residential choices and substantial long run losses in their economic integration with respect to non-dispersed refugees.
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