4.3 Article

Globalization Backlash in Developing Countries: Broadening the Research Agenda

Journal

COMPARATIVE POLITICAL STUDIES
Volume 54, Issue 13, Pages 2416-2441

Publisher

SAGE PUBLICATIONS INC
DOI: 10.1177/00104140211037575

Keywords

globalization; political economy; economic policy; economic liberalization; developing countries

Funding

  1. Niehaus Center for Globalization & Governance at Princeton University
  2. Christopher H. Browne Center for International Politics at the University of Pennsylvania
  3. Georgetown University
  4. McGill University

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This article discusses the reasons why the backlash against globalization is happening in industrialized countries but is less prominent in developing ones. The authors argue that citizens' support for globalization is based on their expectations of future economic mobility, which are especially high in developing countries. However, as time passes and expectations remain unmet, particularly for less-skilled workers, this could lead to the failure of future globalization.
This special issue explores why the globalization backlash is roiling rich industrialized countries. But why is the backlash less salient in developing ones? In this piece, we challenge scholars to consider why the backlash has not diffused widely to the developing world. We argue support for globalization depends on citizens' expectations of future economic mobility. This is high in the early phases of globalization which encapsulates many developing economies. Since information about globalization's effects is limited, observed mobility of some sustains optimism that the new economic order will allow everyone to prosper. Over time, unrealized expectations of mobility for less-skilled workers puncture this optimism. Such workers in rich countries are long past the honeymoon phase of globalization and confronting realities of stagnant incomes and job precarity. Barring visionary policies unlikely to emerge from today's polarized politics, their discontent will soon be shared by their developing country counterparts, dooming future globalization.

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