Journal
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
Volume 169, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120820
Keywords
E-commerce platform; Supply chain; Market risk; POT model
Categories
Funding
- National Social Science Fund of China [18CGL015]
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The rapid economic development has led to the expansion of supply chains on e-commerce platforms, increasing market risks. However, the use of IoT technology in supply chains can help reduce these risks and better serve economic development.
Rapid economic development has brought about the expansion of the supply chain. In the context of the demand for finance and emerging financial technology tools, supply chain finance on e-commerce platforms is developing rapidly. It not only strengthens the ability to serve the real economy, but also brings market risks caused by excessive supply chains. In the Internet era, IoT technology promotes the exchange of information, while it also has certain risk characteristics. This research implements the peaks over threshold (POT) model to investigate the value at risk (VaR) and expected loss (ES) in the supply chain of e-commerce platforms under the risk of unexpected changes in the market. The study finds that the supply chain of e-commerce platforms based on Internet of Things (IoT) technology suffers less risk in losses. The application and expansion of this technology will effectively lower the market risk of supply chain finance and better serve economic development.
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