4.6 Article

Notching R&D Investment with Corporate Income Tax Cuts in China

Journal

AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW
Volume 111, Issue 7, Pages 2065-2100

Publisher

AMER ECONOMIC ASSOC
DOI: 10.1257/aer.20191758

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Funding

  1. NSF [17300024]
  2. Ministry of Education in China [17JJD790004]
  3. National Natural Science Foundation of China [71503159]
  4. Kauffman Foundation

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The study reveals that under a Chinese policy, firms receive substantial tax cuts by relabeling expenses as R&D, leading to a significant increase in reported R&D. Structural estimates show that relabeling accounts for 24.2% of reported R&D, and doubling R&D would increase productivity by 9%.
We study a Chinese policy that awards substantial tax cuts to firms with R&D investment over a threshold or notch. -Quasi- experimental variation and administrative tax data show a significant increase in reported R&D that is partly driven by firms relabeling expenses as R&D. Structural estimates show relabeling accounts for 24.2 percent of reported R&D and that doubling R&D would increase productivity by 9 percent. Policy simulations show that firm selection and relabeling determine the -cost-effectiveness of stimulating R&D, that -notch-based policies are more effective than tax credits when relabeling is prevalent, and that modest spillovers justify the program from a welfare perspective.

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