Journal
GEOHEALTH
Volume 5, Issue 8, Pages -Publisher
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1029/2021GH000455
Keywords
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Funding
- National Natural Science Foundation of P.R. China [E1190301, 11771373]
- General Research Fund of the Research Grants Council (RGC) of Hong Kong, China [15205119]
- Alibaba (China) Co., Ltd. Collaborative Research project [P0031768]
- Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities [GK202007039, GK202003005]
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This study used global COVID-19 data to analyze the dynamic variations of 84 countries in different climate regions, proposing a new method to obtain transmission rates in different climate zones. The findings suggest that the COVID-19 pandemic may persist for a long time or enter into regular circulation, with higher infection rates in temperate and cold climate regions.
The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused more than 150 million cases of infection to date and poses a serious threat to global public health. In this study, global COVID-19 data were used to examine the dynamical variations from the perspectives of immunity and contact of 84 countries across the five climate regions: tropical, arid, temperate, and cold. A new approach named Yi Hua Jie Mu is proposed to obtain the transmission rates based on the COVID-19 data between the countries with the same climate region over the Northern Hemisphere and Southern Hemisphere. Our results suggest that the COVID-19 pandemic will persist over a long period of time or enter into regular circulation in multiple periods of 1-2 years. Moreover, based on the simulated results by the COVID-19 data, it is found that the temperate and cold climate regions have higher infection rates than the tropical and arid climate regions, which indicates that climate may modulate the transmission of COVID-19. The role of the climate on the COVID-19 variations should be concluded with more data and more cautions. The non-pharmaceutical interventions still play the key role in controlling and prevention this global pandemic. Plain Language Summary In this work, global COVID-19 data were used to examine the dynamical variations from the perspectives of immunity and contact over five climate regions: tropical, arid, temperate, cold, and polar. A new approach is proposed to obtain the infection rates based on the COVID-19 data between the countries with the same climate region over the Northern Hemisphere and Southern Hemisphere. Our results suggest that the COVID-19 pandemic will persist over a long period of time or enter into regular circulation in multiple periods of 1-2 years. Moreover, it is found that the temperate and cold climate regions have higher infection rates than the tropical and arid climate regions, which indicates that climate may modulate the transmission of COVID-19.
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