4.7 Article

The anomalous change in the QBO in 2015-2016

Journal

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
Volume 43, Issue 16, Pages 8791-8797

Publisher

AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL070373

Keywords

QBO

Funding

  1. NASA Modeling, Analysis, and Prediction program
  2. NASA Atmospheric Composition Modeling and Analysis Program

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The quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) is a tropical lower stratospheric, downward propagating zonal wind variation, with an average period of similar to 8months. The QBO has been constantly documented since 1953. Here we describe the evolution of the QBO during the Northern Hemisphere winter of 2015-2016 using radiosonde observations and meteorological reanalyses. Normally, the QBO would show a steady downward propagation of the westerly phase. In 2015-2016, there was an anomalous upward displacement of this westerly phase from similar to 30hPa to 15hPa. These westerlies impinge on or cutoff the normal downward propagation of the easterly phase. In addition, easterly winds develop at 40hPa. Comparisons to tropical wind statistics for the 1953 to present record demonstrate that this 2015-2016 QBO disruption is unprecedented.

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