4.7 Article

Do strong warm ENSO events control the phase of the stratospheric QBO?

Journal

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
Volume 43, Issue 19, Pages 10489-10495

Publisher

AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1002/2016GL070751

Keywords

stratosphere-troposphere coupling; ENSO; QBO

Funding

  1. European Community within StratoClim project [603557]
  2. NordForsk within GREENICE project [61841]

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Although there in general are no significant long-term correlations between the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in observations, we find that the QBO and the ENSO were aligned in the 3 to 4years after the three warm ENSO events in 1982, 1997, and 2015. We investigate this indicated relationship with a version of the EC-Earth climate model which includes nonorographic gravity waves. We analyze the modeled QBO in ensembles forced with climatological sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and observed SSTs. In the ensemble with observed SSTs we find a strong and significant alignment of the ensemble members in the equatorial stratospheric winds in the 2 to 4years after the strong ENSO event in 1997. This alignment also includes the observed QBO. No such alignment is found in the ensemble with climatological SSTs. These results indicate that strong warm ENSO events can lock the phase of the QBO.

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