Determinant Powers of Socioeconomic Factors and Their Interactive Impacts on Particulate Matter Pollution in North China

Severe air pollution has significantly impacted climate and human health worldwide. In this study, global and local Moran's I was used to examine the spatial autocorrelation of PM2.5 pollution in North China from 2000-2017, using data obtained from Atmospheric Composition Analysis Group of Dalhousie University. The determinant powers and their interactive effects of socioeconomic factors on this pollutant are then quantified using a non-linear model, GeoDetector. Our experiments show that between 2000 and 2017, PM2.5 pollution globally increased and exhibited a significant positive global and local autocorrelation. The greatest factor affecting PM2.5 pollution was population density. Population density, road density, and urbanization showed a tendency to first increase and then decrease, while the number of industries and industrial output revealed a tendency to increase continuously. From a long-term perspective, the interactive effects of road density and industrial output, road density, and the number of industries were amongst the highest. These findings can be used to develop the effective policy to reduce PM2.5 pollution, such as, due to the significant spatial autocorrelation between regions, the government should pay attention to the importance of regional joint management of PM2.5 pollution.

Automated summary

This study examined the spatial autocorrelation of PM2.5 pollution in North China from 2000 to 2017 using global and local Moran's I, and quantified the determinant powers of socioeconomic factors on this pollutant using the non-linear model GeoDetector. The results indicated that population density was the most influential factor on PM2.5 pollution, while the interactive effects of road density and industrial output, road density and the number of industries were among the highest in long-term perspective.