4.4 Article

Skill, Predictability, and Cluster Analysis of Atlantic Tropical Storms and Hurricanes in the ECMWF Monthly Forecasts

Related references

Note: Only part of the references are listed.
Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Making Seasonal Outlooks of Arctic Sea Ice and Atlantic Hurricanes Valuable-Not Just Skillful

Louis-Philippe Caron et al.

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Current and Emerging Developments in Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction

William J. Merryfield et al.

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Forecasts of Opportunity Opening Windows of Skill, Subseasonal and Beyond

[Anonymous]

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2020)

Editorial Material Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Introduction to Special Collection: Bridging Weather and Climate: Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Prediction

Andrea L. Lang et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The ERA5 global reanalysis

Hans Hersbach et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction of Weather to Climate with Application to Tropical Cyclones

Andrew W. Robertson et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Characteristics of Model Tropical Cyclone Climatology and the Large-Scale Environment

Suzana J. Camargo et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2020)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

A Statistical/Dynamical Model for North Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Prediction

P. J. Klotzbach et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Subseasonal Predictions of Tropical Cyclone Occurrence and ACE in the S2S Dataset

Chia-Ying Lee et al.

WEATHER AND FORECASTING (2020)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

On the Dependency of Atlantic Hurricane and European Windstorm Hazards

M. Angus et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Windows of Opportunity for Skillful Forecasts Subseasonal to Seasonal and Beyond

Annarita Mariotti et al.

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2020)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The western Pacific subtropical high and tropical cyclone landfall: Seasonal forecasts using the Met Office GloSea5 system

Joanne Camp et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2019)

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Sub-seasonal predictability of the 2017-2018 Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season

Paul A. Gregory et al.

ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS (2019)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX): A Multimodel Subseasonal Prediction Experiment

Kathy Pegion et al.

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2019)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Skillful Prediction of Monthly Major Hurricane Activity in the North Atlantic with Two-way Nesting

Kun Gao et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2019)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Treatment of model uncertainty from radiation by the Stochastically Perturbed Parametrization Tendencies (SPPT) scheme and associated revisions in the ECMWF ensembles

Sarah-Jane Lock et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2019)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

ECMWF Activities for Improved Hurricane Forecasts

L. Magnusson et al.

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2019)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Seasonal forecasts of North Atlantic tropical cyclone activity in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble

Julia V. Manganello et al.

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2019)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

A PAPER ON THE TROPICAL INTRASEASONAL OSCILLATION PUBLISHED IN 1963 IN A CHINESE JOURNAL

Tim Li et al.

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2018)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The Influence of ENSO Flavors on Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Activity

Christina M. Patricola et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2018)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Subseasonal Tropical Cyclone Genesis Prediction and MJO in the S2S Dataset

Chia-Ying Lee et al.

WEATHER AND FORECASTING (2018)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

A Statistical Assessment of Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone Tracks in Climate Models

Hamish A. Ramsay et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2018)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction project (S2S) and the prediction of extreme events

Frederic Vitart et al.

NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE (2018)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Towards process-level representation of model uncertainties: stochastically perturbed parametrizations in the ECMWF ensemble

Pirkka Ollinaho et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2017)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature, Version 5 (ERSSTv5): Upgrades, Validations, and Intercomparisons

Boyin Huang et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2017)

Review Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Potential applications of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictions

Christopher J. White et al.

METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS (2017)

Review Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Stochastic representations of model uncertainties at ECMWF: state of the art and future vision

Martin Leutbecher et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2017)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Reanalysis of climate influences on Atlantic tropical cyclone activity using cluster analysis

Mathieu Boudreault et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2017)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Model Tracks in Present and Future Climates

Jennifer Nakamura et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2017)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

THE SUBSEASONAL TO SEASONAL (S2S) PREDICTION PROJECT DATABASE

F. Vitart et al.

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2017)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Degree of simulated suppression of Atlantic tropical cyclones modulated by flavour of El Nino

Christina M. Patricola et al.

NATURE GEOSCIENCE (2016)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Beyond Weather Time-Scale Prediction for Hurricane Sandy and Super Typhoon Haiyan in a Global Climate Model

Baoqiang Xiang et al.

MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW (2015)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The Madden-Julian Oscillation's Impacts on Worldwide Tropical Cyclone Activity

Philip J. Klotzbach

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2014)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Evolution of ECMWF sub-seasonal forecast skill scores

Frederic Vitart

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2014)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Extended-Range Forecasts of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Events during 2012 Using the ECMWF 32-Day Ensemble Predictions*

Russell L. Elsberry et al.

WEATHER AND FORECASTING (2014)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Characteristics of tropical cyclones in high-resolution models in the present climate

Daniel A. Shaevitz et al.

JOURNAL OF ADVANCES IN MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS (2014)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Objective verifications and false alarm analyses of western North Pacific tropical cyclone event forecasts by the ECMWF 32-day ensemble

Hsiao-Chung Tsai et al.

ASIA-PACIFIC JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES (2013)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Global and Regional Aspects of Tropical Cyclone Activity in the CMIP5 Models

Suzana J. Camargo

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2013)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Understanding advances in the simulation of intraseasonal variability in the ECMWF model. Part I: The representation of the MJO

L. C. Hirons et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2013)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Understanding advances in the simulation of intraseasonal variability in the ECMWF model. Part II: The application of process-based diagnostics

L. C. Hirons et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2013)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Cluster analysis of tropical cyclone tracks in the Southern Hemisphere

Hamish A. Ramsay et al.

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2012)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Climatological Variations in North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Tracks

Angela J. Colbert et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2012)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

A Global View of Equatorial Waves and Tropical Cyclogenesis

Carl J. Schreck et al.

MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW (2012)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Impact of perturbation methods in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system on tropical cyclone forecasts

S. T. K. Lang et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2012)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Extended Prediction of North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones

James I. Belanger et al.

WEATHER AND FORECASTING (2012)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Evaluation of the ECMWF 32-day ensemble predictions during 2009 season of western North Pacific tropical cyclone events on intraseasonal timescales

Russell L. Elsberry et al.

ASIA-PACIFIC JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES (2011)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Predictability of Tropical Cyclone Events on Intraseasonal Timescales with the ECMWF Monthly Forecast Model

Russell L. Elsberry et al.

ASIA-PACIFIC JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES (2010)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Climate Modulation of North Atlantic Hurricane Tracks

James P. Kossin et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2010)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

A Comparison of Dynamical and Statistical Predictions of Weekly Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Southern Hemisphere

Frederic Vitart et al.

MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW (2010)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Predictability of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity on Intraseasonal Time Scales

James I. Belanger et al.

MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW (2010)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Simulation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and its teleconnections in the ECMWF forecast system

Frederic Vitart et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2010)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Effect of Model Resolution on Tropical Cyclone Climate Projections

Hiroyuki Murakami et al.

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Variability in tornado frequency associated with U. S. landfalling tropical cyclones

James I. Belanger et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2009)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Diagnosis of the MJO Modulation of Tropical Cyclogenesis Using an Empirical Index

Suzana J. Camargo et al.

JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES (2009)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Experimental Dynamical Seasonal Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Activity at IRI

Suzana J. Camargo et al.

WEATHER AND FORECASTING (2009)

Article Geochemistry & Geophysics

Clustering of eastern North Pacific tropical cyclone tracks: ENSO and MJO effects

Suzana J. Camargo et al.

GEOCHEMISTRY GEOPHYSICS GEOSYSTEMS (2008)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Advances in simulating atmospheric variability with the ECMWF model:: From synoptic to decadal time-scales

Peter Bechtold et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2008)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The new VarEPS-monthly forecasting system: A first step towards seamless prediction

Frederic Vitart et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2008)

Review Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

A more general framework for understanding Atlantic hurricane variability and trends

James P. Kossin et al.

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2007)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Use of a genesis potential index to diagnose ENSO effects on tropical cyclone genesis

Suzana J. Camargo et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2007)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Probabilistic clustering of extratropical cyclones using regression mixture models

Scott J. Gaffney et al.

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2007)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Dynamically-based seasonal forecasts of Atlantic tropical storm activity issued in June by EUROSIP

F. Vitart et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2007)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Cluster analysis of typhoon tracks. Part I: General properties

Suzana J. Camargo et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2007)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Cluster analysis of typhoon tracks. Part II: Large-scale circulation and ENSO

Suzana J. Camargo et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2007)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

The Atlantic Meridional Mode and hurricane activity

Daniel J. Vimont et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2007)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The new ECMWF VAREPS (Variable Resolution Ensemble Prediction System)

Roberto Buizza et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2007)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

El Nino: Catastrophe or opportunity

L Goddard et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2005)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Monthly forecasting at ECMWF

F Vitart

MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW (2004)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Tracking hurricanes

JB Elsner

BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2003)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Sensitivity of tropical storms simulated by a general circulation model to changes in cumulus parametrization

F Vitart et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2001)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Prediction skill of the Madden and Julian Oscillation in dynamical extended range forecasts

C Jones et al.

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2000)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Global tropical cyclone activity: Link to the North Atlantic oscillation

JB Elsner et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2000)