4.5 Article

Transitivity and approximate consistency threshold determination for reciprocal preference relations in group decision making

Journal

JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY
Volume 73, Issue 7, Pages 1649-1666

Publisher

TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/01605682.2021.1928560

Keywords

Decision analysis; group decision making; multi-criteria; stochastic programming; data mining

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [71771156, 71971145]
  2. China Scholarship Council [201906240161]

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This study introduces an approximate transitivity-based consistency threshold to ensure the reliability of ranking alternatives in group decision making with reciprocal preference relations. The natural inconsistency of reciprocal preference relations is analyzed through numerical experiments, leading to the introduction of transitivity-based consistency thresholds. Additionally, a transitivity checking process is incorporated in the group decision-making process, and a model for integrated transitivity checking is provided for application.
In a group decision-making process, contradictory pairwise comparisons may exist in individual preferences or the group preferences even though the consensus level is reached. To avoid such a contradictory phenomenon, this study presents an approximate transitivity-based consistency threshold for reciprocal preference relations to ensure the reliability of the ranking of alternatives with reciprocal preference relations in group decision making. The natural inconsistency or intransitivity of reciprocal preference relations is analyzed and verified by numerical experiments. Then, using the results of numerical experiments, approximate transitivity-based consistency thresholds are introduced based on the objectives of minimising the Type I error, Type II error and total error in statistics. Moreover, a transitivity checking process regarding individual reciprocal preference relations and group reciprocal preference relations is incorporated in the group decision-making process. A transitivity-checking integrated group decision-making model is given for application. An example about the station selection for high-speed railway line is provided to show the necessity of the approximate transitivity-based consistency threshold in checking the transitivity of reciprocal preference relations for group decision making.

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