Journal
JOURNAL OF INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS
Volume 26, Issue 6, Pages 730-745Publisher
TAYLOR & FRANCIS INC
DOI: 10.1080/15472450.2021.1974857
Keywords
Congestion; DCNN model; error analysis; LN-TU approach; traffic flow
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This paper presents an enhanced traffic flow prediction model using an optimized Deep Convolutional Neural Network (DCNN) with technical indicators and weight tuning method, achieving better prediction results compared to conventional models.
Traffic flow prediction is a basic aspect to be considered in transportation management and modeling. Attaining precise information on near and current traffic flows has an extensive range of appliances and it further aids in managing the congestion. Numerous conventional models failed at offering precise prediction results due to shallow in architecture and hand engineered in features. Moreover, the raw traffic flow information contains noise that might lead to the worst prediction results. Therefore, this paper intends to design an enhanced prediction model on traffic flow using Optimized Deep Convolutional Neural Network (DCNN). The input features or the technical indicators subjected to the optimized CNN are Average True Range (ATR), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) and Rate of Change (ROC), respectively. Moreover, for precise prediction, the weights of DCNN are optimally tuned using a new Improved Lion Algorithm (LA) termed as Lion with New Territorial Takeover Update (LN-TU) model. In the end, the betterment of implemented work is compared and proved over the conventional models in terms of error analysis and prediction analysis.
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