4.7 Article

A fast evidential approach for stock forecasting

Journal

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS
Volume 36, Issue 12, Pages 7544-7562

Publisher

WILEY-HINDAWI
DOI: 10.1002/int.22598

Keywords

data fusion; evidence theory; rules of combination; stock forecasting; time series

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [62003280]

Ask authors/readers for more resources

This paper explores the fusion method of evidence theory to improve the accuracy of stock price prediction, with a focus on time series data, and emphasizes the advantage of fast processing speed.
Within the framework of evidence theory, the confidence functions of different information can be combined into a combined confidence function to solve uncertain problems. The Dempster combination rule is a classic method of fusing different information. This paper proposes a similar confidence function for the time point in the time series. The Dempster combination rule can be used to fuse the growth rate of the last time point, and finally a relatively accurate forecast data can be obtained. Stock price forecasting is a concern of economics. The stock price data is large in volume, and more accurate forecasts are required at the same time. The classic methods of time series, such as ARIMA, cannot balance forecasting efficiency and forecasting accuracy at the same time. In this paper, the fusion method of evidence theory is applied to stock price prediction. Evidence theory deals with the uncertainty of stock price prediction and improves the accuracy of prediction. At the same time, the fusion method of evidence theory has low time complexity and fast prediction processing speed.

Authors

I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.

Reviews

Primary Rating

4.7
Not enough ratings

Secondary Ratings

Novelty
-
Significance
-
Scientific rigor
-
Rate this paper

Recommended

No Data Available
No Data Available