4.7 Article

Dominant factors for targeted demand side management-An alternate approach for residential demand profiling in developing countries

Journal

SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY
Volume 67, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2020.102693

Keywords

Electricity consumption; Electricity demand variability; Peak electricity demand; Demand-side management

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By analyzing residential electricity consumption data in Bangladesh, this study identifies the key factors influencing demand patterns as the number of major electrical appliances and the number of occupants in households. The research results suggest that daily average electricity consumption is influenced by the number of electrical appliances, while demand during system peaks is driven by the number of occupants.
Demand-side management (DSM) has significant potential to reduce peak electricity demand to achieve costefficient and less-emissions-intensive electricity generation, but adoption is not yet widespread, especially in developing countries. This is due in part to a lack of detailed knowledge of the household factors that shape demand patterns, which are not necessarily the same as those in developed nations. This paper reports on the compilation and analysis of residential electricity consumption data to identify the factors that are most responsible for driving daily demand patterns in Bangladeshi households. In the absence of smart meters, structured interviews with householders were used to estimate daily demand patterns. Time-segmented regression analysis then identified the dominant factors that influence demand at different timeslots across the day. The dominant factors were found to be the number of major electrical appliances and the number of occupants in residences. We found that daily average electricity consumption is mostly influenced by the number of major electrical appliances at houses, while residential demand during system peaks is dominated by the number of occupants. The results are not nationally applicable due to the small and non-representative data set but indicate how this approach could be used to design targeted DSM strategies.

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