Identification and Validation of a Six Immune-Related Genes Signature for Predicting Prognosis in Patients With Stage II Colorectal Cancer

Background Immune-related genes (IRGs) play important roles in the tumor immune microenvironment and can affect the prognosis of cancer. This study aimed to construct a novel IRG signature for prognostic evaluation of stage II colorectal cancer (CRC). Methods Gene expression profiles and clinical data for stage II CRC patients were collected from the Cancer Genome Atlas and Gene Expression Omnibus database. Univariate, multivariate Cox regression, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were used to develop the IRG signature, namely IRGCRCII. A nomogram was constructed, and the Cell Type Identification by Estimating Relative Subsets of RNA Transcripts (CIBERSORT) method was used to estimate immune cell infiltration. The expression levels of genes and proteins were validated by qRT-PCR and immunohistochemistry in 30 pairs of primary stage II CRC and matched normal tissues. Results A total of 466 patients with stage II CRC were included, and 274 differentially expressed IRGs were identified. Six differentially expressed IRGs were detected and used to construct the IRGCRCII signature, which could significantly stratify patients into high-risk and low-risk groups in terms of disease-free survival in three cohorts: training, test, and external validation (GSE39582). Receiver operating characteristics analysis revealed that the area under the curves of the IRGCRCII signature were significantly greater than those of the OncotypeDX colon signature at 1 (0.759 vs. 0.623), 3 (0.875 vs. 0.629), and 5 years (0.906 vs. 0.698) disease-free survival, respectively. The nomogram performed well in the concordance index (0.779) and calibration curves. The high-risk group had a significantly higher percentage of infiltrated immune cells (e.g., M2 macrophages, plasma cells, resting mast cells) than the low-risk group. Finally, the results of qRT-PCR and immunohistochemistry experiments performed on 30 pairs of clinical specimens were consistent with bioinformatics analysis. Conclusion This study developed and validated a novel immune prognostic signature based on six differentially expressed IRGs for predicting disease-free survival and immune status in patients with stage II CRC, which may reflect immune dysregulation in the tumor immune microenvironment.

Automated summary

This study developed and validated a novel immune prognostic signature based on six differentially expressed IRGs for predicting disease-free survival and immune status in patients with stage II CRC. The high-risk group exhibited a higher percentage of infiltrated immune cells. The accuracy of the signature was confirmed through experimental validation.