4.6 Article

Risk-Risk Tradeoffs for Mass Shootings and International Terrorism

Journal

RISK ANALYSIS
Volume 41, Issue 12, Pages 2196-2208

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/risa.13745

Keywords

Mass shooting; risk perception; risk preferences; terrorism

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This study reveals that people tend to prioritize reducing the risk of mass shootings over international terrorist attacks. Even for those who perceive international terrorism risks as more threatening personally, there is a greater emphasis on the risks of mass shootings.
This article elicits information about risk perceptions and risk-risk tradeoffs for mass shootings and international terrorist attacks. These prominent public risks are similar in many respects in that both involve traumatic injuries. One might expect that the risk-risk tradeoff rate would be 1.0 unless other attributes of these risks are pertinent. Estimates based on an original survey structured to test rates of tradeoff between deaths from these risks indicate that respondents consistently place a premium on reducing mass shooting risks, as compared to risks of international terrorism. The average premium is relatively stable even after accounting for the effect of differences in personal risk beliefs on policy preferences. The estimated rates of risk-risk tradeoff reflect a greater weight on mass shooting risks even for those who believe that international terrorism risks pose a greater personal threat.

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