4.7 Article

Reliability based modeling of hybrid solar/wind power system for long term performance assessment

Journal

RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY
Volume 209, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107478

Keywords

Expected energy not supplied; Hybrid system; Renewable energy; Wind speed; Wind turbine

Funding

  1. Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK) [TUBITAK 1001-119F182]

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This paper focuses on the reliability based long-term performance assessment of hybrid solar/wind power system. An analytical expression for the theoretical distribution of the power output and an expression for the expected energy not supplied were derived, allowing for proper evaluation of the hybrid system performance. A numerical example was included to illustrate the results.
This paper is concerned with reliability based long-term performance assessment of hybrid solar/wind power system. In particular, an analytical expression is obtained for the theoretical distribution of the power output of the hybrid system by taking into account the reliability values of renewable energy components. An expression for the expected energy not supplied (EENS) is also derived and used to compute the energy index of reliability (EIR) that is directly related to EENS. Because the derived expressions involve reliability values which are related to mechanical states of the renewable energy components, the results enable us to evaluate properly the performance of the hybrid system. A numerical example is included to illustrate the results.

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