4.8 Article

Measuring the news and its impact on democracy

Publisher

NATL ACAD SCIENCES
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1912443118

Keywords

misinformation; media; democracy

Funding

  1. Nathan Cummings Foundation
  2. Carnegie Corporation

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Since the 2016 US presidential election, there has been significant concern over the deliberate spread of misinformation online, especially on social media, and its potential effects on public opinion, political polarization, and democratic decision making. However, recent research has suggested that the prevalence and consumption of fake news is actually quite low compared to other types of news and news-relevant content. This highlights the importance of understanding misinformation in a broader context, including biased and misleading information produced or amplified by mainstream news organizations.
Since the 2016 US presidential election, the deliberate spread of misinformation online, and on social media in particular, has generated extraordinary concern, in large part because of its potential effects on public opinion, political polarization, and ultimately democratic decision making. Recently, however, a handful of papers have argued that both the prevalence and consumption of fake news per se is extremely low compared with other types of news and news-relevant content. Although neither prevalence nor consumption is a direct measure of influence, this work suggests that proper understanding of misinformation and its effects requires a much broader view of the problem, encompassing biased and misleadingbut not necessarily factually incorrectinformation that is routinely produced or amplified by mainstream news organizations. In this paper, we propose an ambitious collective research agenda to measure the origins, nature, and prevalence of misinformation, broadly construed, as well as its impact on democracy. We also sketch out some illustrative examples of completed, ongoing, or planned research projects that contribute to this agenda.

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