4.7 Article

Effects of extreme temperature on respiratory diseases in Lanzhou, a temperate climate city of China

Journal

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
Volume 28, Issue 35, Pages 49278-49288

Publisher

SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s11356-021-14169-x

Keywords

Extreme temperature; Respiratory diseases; Distributed lag linear and non-linear models

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [41975141]

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Under the global climate warming, extreme weather events lead to more frequent occurrence. A study in Lanzhou, China, found that extreme temperatures have a significant impact on respiratory emergency room visits, with extreme low temperature showing a greater effect than extreme high temperature. The elderly are at the highest risk to extreme temperatures, while children have the longest lag effect.
Under the global climate warming, extreme weather events occur more and more frequently. Epidemiological studies have proved that extreme temperature is strongly correlated with respiratory diseases. We evaluated extreme-temperature effect on respiratory emergency room (ER) visits for 5 years in Lanzhou, a northwest temperate climate city of China from January 1st, 2013, to August 31st, 2017. We built a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) to evaluate the lag effect up to 30 days. Results showed the relative risk (RR) of respiratory disease always reached the maximum at lag 0 day and decreased to 1.0 at lag 5 days. Extremely low temperature showed the lag effect of 22 days and the maximum RR was 1.415 (95% CI 1.295-1.546) at lag 0 day. Extremely high temperature showed the lag effect of 7 days and the maximum RR was 1.091 (95% CI 1.069-1.114) at lag 0 day. The elders (age > 65 years) were at the greatest risk to extreme temperatures and the response were very acute. Children (age <= 15 years) were at the lowest risk but the lag effect lasted the longest lag days than other subgroups. Males showed longer-term lag effect and higher RR than females. Our study indicated that the extremely low temperature has a significantly greater effect on respiratory diseases than extremely high temperature.

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