4.7 Article

Cost-effective fault diagnosis of a multi-component dynamic system under corrective maintenance

Journal

APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING
Volume 102, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.asoc.2021.107092

Keywords

Corrective maintenance; Dynamic Bayesian networks; Multi-component systems; Sensitivity analysis

Funding

  1. Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK) [117M587]

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Maintenance planning and execution are challenging tasks for systems with complex structures, where preventive maintenance and corrective actions have different focuses on cost and availability. A cost-effective dynamic Bayesian network modeling scheme is proposed to balance these factors, showing considerable gains in maintenance costs.
Maintenance planning and execution are challenging tasks for every system with complex structure. Interdependent nature of the components that builds up the system may have significant effect on system integrity. While preventive maintenance actions can be carried out in a more planned fashion, corrective actions are more time sensitive as they directly affect the availability of the system. This study proposes a cost-effective dynamic Bayesian network modeling scheme to be used in the planning of corrective maintenance actions on systems having hidden components which have stochastic and structural dependencies. In such context, the regenerative air heater system which is a key element of a power plant is taken into consideration. The proposed maintenance framework offers several methods, each aiming to balance the cost with the probability effect using a normalization procedure. The methodologies are extensively simulated for sensitivity analysis under various downtime cost values. Fault effect methods with worst state probability efficiency measures give the least total cost for all downtime cost values and their distinction becomes significant as this value increases. Further statistical analysis concludes that considerable gains on maintenance costs can be achieved by the proposed approach. (C) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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