4.7 Article

Sequential Learning-Based Energy Consumption Prediction Model for Residential and Commercial Sectors

Journal

MATHEMATICS
Volume 9, Issue 6, Pages -

Publisher

MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/math9060605

Keywords

prediction model; sequential learning model; energy consumption; convolutional LSTM

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Funding

  1. National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) - Korean government (MSIT) [2019M3F2A1073179]

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The use of electrical energy is directly proportional to the increase in global population, driving researchers to develop forecasting models for optimal energy use. This paper presents a comparative analysis of deep features and sequential learning models to select an optimized hybrid architecture for energy consumption prediction, achieving superior results compared to existing models.
The use of electrical energy is directly proportional to the increase in global population, both concerning growing industrialization and rising residential demand. The need to achieve a balance between electrical energy production and consumption inspires researchers to develop forecasting models for optimal and economical energy use. Mostly, the residential and industrial sectors use metering sensors that only measure the consumed energy but are unable to manage electricity. In this paper, we present a comparative analysis of a variety of deep features with several sequential learning models to select the optimized hybrid architecture for energy consumption prediction. The best results are achieved using convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM) integrated with bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM). The ConvLSTM initially extracts features from the input data to produce encoded sequences that are decoded by BiLSTM and then proceeds with a final dense layer for energy consumption prediction. The overall framework consists of preprocessing raw data, extracting features, training the sequential model, and then evaluating it. The proposed energy consumption prediction model outperforms existing models over publicly available datasets, including Household and Korean commercial building datasets.

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