A look-ahead Monte Carlo simulation method for improving parental selection in trait introgression

Multiple trait introgression is the process by which multiple desirable traits are converted from a donor to a recipient cultivar through backcrossing and selfing. The goal of this procedure is to recover all the attributes of the recipient cultivar, with the addition of the specified desirable traits. A crucial step in this process is the selection of parents to form new crosses. In this study, we propose a new selection approach that estimates the genetic distribution of the progeny of backcrosses after multiple generations using information of recombination events. Our objective is to select the most promising individuals for further backcrossing or selfing. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, a case study has been conducted using maize data where our method is compared with state-of-the-art approaches. Simulation results suggest that the proposed method, look-ahead Monte Carlo, achieves higher probability of success than existing approaches. Our proposed selection method can assist breeders to efficiently design trait introgression projects.

Automated summary

Multiple trait introgression is the process of transferring multiple desirable traits from a donor to a recipient cultivar through backcrossing and selfing. The selection of parents for new crosses is crucial, and a new approach using recombination event information has been proposed to aid breeders in selecting promising individuals. Simulation results show that the proposed method, look-ahead Monte Carlo, has a higher success rate compared to existing approaches, potentially assisting breeders in designing trait introgression projects more efficiently.