4.7 Article

Advanced intelligence frameworks for predicting maximum pitting corrosion depth in oil and gas pipelines

Journal

PROCESS SAFETY AND ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
Volume 147, Issue -, Pages 818-833

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.psep.2021.01.008

Keywords

Oil and gas pipelines; Pitting corrosion; Maximum depth; Artificial Intelligence (AI); Global performance indicator (GPI); External validation

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The main goal of this study is to develop accurate frameworks for estimating the maximum pitting corrosion depth in oil and gas pipelines using data-driven techniques and artificial intelligence models. Different advanced approaches were applied to analyze the relationship between pitting depths and various factors that influence the corrosion process. Comparisons were made using statistical analyses to determine the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed AI-models for predicting maximum pitting depth in oil and gas pipelines.
The main objective of this paper is to develop accurate novel frameworks for the estimation of the maximum pitting corrosion depth in oil and gas pipelines based on data-driven techniques. Thus, different advanced approaches using Artificial Intelligence (AI) models were applied, including Artificial Neural Network (ANN), M5 Tree (M5Tree), Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS), Locally Weighted Polynomials (LWP), Kriging (KR), and Extreme Learning Machines (ELM). Additionally, a total of 259 measurement samples of maximum pitting corrosion depth for pipelines located in different environments were extracted from the literature and used for developing the AI-models in terms of training and testing.Furthermore, an investigation was carried out on the relationship between the maximum pitting depths and several combinations of probable factors that induce the pitting growth process such as the pipeline age, and the surrounding environmental properties. The results of the proposed AI-frameworks were compared using various criteria. Thus, statistical, uncertainty and external validation analyses were utilized to compare the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed AI-models and to investigate the main contributing factors for accurate predictions of the maximum pitting depth in the oil and gas pipeline. (C) 2021 Institution of Chemical Engineers. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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