Ten-year cardiovascular risk among cancer survivors: The National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey

Background Cancer survivors have a higher risk of developing and dying from cardiovascular disease (CVD) compared to the general population. We sought to determine whether 10-year risk of atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD) is elevated among those with vs. without a cancer history in a nationally representative U.S. sample. Methods Participants aged 40-79 years with no CVD history were included from the 2007-2016 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Cancer history was self-reported and 10-year risk of ASCVD was estimated using Pooled Cohort Equations. We used logistic regression to estimate associations between cancer history and odds of elevated (>= 7.5%) vs. low (< 7.5%) 10-year ASCVD risk. An interaction between age and cancer history was examined. Results A total of 15,095 participants were included (mean age = 55.2 years) with 12.3% (n = 1,604) reporting a cancer history. Individuals with vs. without a cancer history had increased odds of elevated 10-year ASCVD risk (OR = 3.42, 95% CI: 2.51-4.66). Specifically, those with bladder/kidney, prostate, colorectal, lung, melanoma, or testicular cancer had a 2.72-10.47 higher odds of elevated 10-year ASCVD risk. Additionally, age was an effect modifier: a cancer history was associated with 1.24 (95% CI: 1.19-4.21) times higher odds of elevated 10-year ASCVD risk among those aged 60-69, but not with other age groups. Conclusions Adults with a history of self-reported cancer had higher 10-year ASCVD risk. ASCVD risk assessment and clinical surveillance of cardiovascular health following a cancer diagnosis could potentially reduce disease burden and prolong survival, especially for patients with specific cancers and high ASCVD risk.

Automated summary

Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey show that adults with a history of self-reported cancer have a higher 10-year ASCVD risk, especially for specific cancer types. In addition, age is an effect modifier for the association between cancer history and elevated 10-year ASCVD risk.