4.7 Article

Re-evaluating the asymmetric conventional energy and renewable energy consumption-economic growth nexus for Pakistan

Journal

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
Volume 28, Issue 28, Pages 37435-37447

Publisher

SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s11356-021-13131-1

Keywords

Conventional energy consumption; Renewable energy consumption; Economic growth; NARDL; Pakistan

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This study focuses on the relationship between economic growth and energy sources in Pakistan from 1980 to 2016. The findings suggest that renewable energy has a long-term asymmetric impact on economic growth, while the long-term symmetric and asymmetric effects of GDP in both energy models are confirmed. This highlights the importance of renewable energy in boosting economic growth and the potential negative impact of reducing its use on Pakistan's economy.
To understand the nexus between economic growth and energy sources, in this study, we have selected Pakistan and collected data over the period 1980-2016. The neoclassical production function of Pakistan is augmented with conventional and renewable energy, capital, and labor. Conversely, the conventional and renewable models are being constructed by using GDP as an independent variable. This paper applied linear and nonlinear ARDL models to see whether the influence of conventional and renewable energy consumption on GDP per capita of Pakistan is symmetric or asymmetric and vice versa. Furthermore, the asymmetric causal effects between the energy variables and economic growth are also discussed. From the findings of the study, we deduce the long-run asymmetric effects of renewable energy on the economic growth of Pakistan. Similarly, the asymmetric effects of GDP, in the long run, are confirmed in both energy models. The symmetric and asymmetric causality results have recommended growth and conservation hypothesis. The findings propose that renewable energy is a significant factor in boosting the economic growth of Pakistan and a decline in the use of renewable energy could actually stem the economic growth of Pakistan.

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