Mortality from Multiple Myeloma Within One Year Following Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation: Defining an Ultra-high Risk Population

Despite improvements in therapy, approximately 5% of patients who undergo autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) experience early mortality (EM), death within 1 year of transplant (EM post-ASCT). Such patients tend to have few comorbidities suggesting their EM is owing to aggressive underlying disease. We sought to characterize this ultra-high risk population through a retrospective review of patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (MM) treated with first-line ASCT. Patients who died within 1 year of ASCT were matched for age, sex, and year of transplant in a 1:2 fashion with a control group. Of 962 transplants performed between January 1, 2007, and May 1, 2019, 41 patients (4.3%) died within 1 year of ASCT from MM-related causes. In a multivariate analysis, anemia, hypercalcemia, high-risk cytogenetics, and elevated lactate dehydrogenase were associated with EM post-ASCT. Forty patients (97.6%) received at least 1 novel agent. Most patients with EM post-ASCT received second-line chemotherapy (80.5%), although survival from initiation of second-line chemotherapy was only 2.1 months. The primary reason for not receiving second-line therapy was rapid relapse. Clinical parameters reflecting disease burden, as well as high-risk cytogenetics, are associated with EM post-ASCT. These patients have a dismal overall survival despite significant advances in treatment of patients with relapsed or refractory myeloma. Further study of these ultra-high risk patients is required to improve disease management and may give further insights into the biology of relapse and resistance in myeloma. (C) 2021 Published by Elsevier Inc.

Automated summary

Despite improvements in therapy, a small proportion of patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma who undergo autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) experience early mortality (EM) within 1 year of transplant. Factors such as anemia, hypercalcemia, high-risk cytogenetics, and elevated lactate dehydrogenase are associated with EM post-ASCT. Most patients with EM post-ASCT receive second-line chemotherapy, but survival time is short.