Journal
CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS
Volume 144, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2021.110652
Keywords
Mathematical modelling of COVID-19; pandemic; Galicia; Spain and Portugal case studies; Fractional differential equations; Numerical simulations
Categories
Funding
- Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT) - FCT [147]
- Instituto de Salud Carlos III - Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovacion of Spain [COV20/00617]
- CIDMA [UIDB/04106/2020]
- Agencia Estatal de Investigacion (AEI) of Spain
- European Fund for Regional Development (FEDER) [MTM2016-75140-P]
- FCT [PD/BD/150273/2019]
- Xunta de Galicia [ED431C 2019/02]
- FCT, I.P.
- Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia [PD/BD/150273/2019] Funding Source: FCT
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A novel fractional compartmental mathematical model was proposed to study the spread of COVID-19, with a focus on the transmissibility of super-spreaders. Numerical simulations were conducted for the regions of Galicia, Spain, and Portugal, revealing different values of the Caputo derivative order and highlighting the importance of considering fractional models.
A fractional compartmental mathematical model for the spread of the COVID-19 disease is proposed. Special focus has been done on the transmissibility of super-spreaders individuals. Numerical simulations are shown for data of Galicia, Spain, and Portugal. For each region, the order of the Caputo derivative takes a different value, that is not close to one, showing the relevance of considering fractional models. ? 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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