4.7 Article

Correlation Between Local Air Temperature and the COVID-19 Pandemic in Hubei, China

Journal

FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH
Volume 8, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

FRONTIERS MEDIA SA
DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2020.604870

Keywords

COVID-19; infectious disease; weather-outbreak correlation; climate and health; temperature; daily new confirmed infections

Funding

  1. National Nature Science Foundation of China [81972897]
  2. Guangdong Province Universities and Colleges Pearl River Scholar Funded Scheme

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The study revealed a positive correlation between daily temperature and newly confirmed COVID-19 cases in Hubei Province, with the influence of temperature being more significant in Wuhan compared to other cities. Government departments in regions with specific temperature ranges should take proactive measures to combat the pandemic.
Objective: To clarify the correlation between temperature and the COVID-19 pandemic in Hubei. Methods: We collected daily newly confirmed COVID-19 cases and daily temperature for six cities in Hubei Province, assessed their correlations, and established regression models. Results: For temperatures ranging from -3.9 to 16.5 degrees C, daily newly confirmed cases were positively correlated with the maximum temperature similar to 0-4 days prior or the minimum temperature similar to 11-14 days prior to the diagnosis in almost all selected cities. An increase in the maximum temperature 4 days prior by 1 degrees C was associated with an increase in the daily newly confirmed cases (similar to 129) in Wuhan. The influence of temperature on the daily newly confirmed cases in Wuhan was much more significant than in other cities. Conclusion: Government departments in areas where temperatures range between -3.9 and 16.5 degrees C and rise gradually must take more active measures to address the COVID-19 pandemic.

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