Journal
RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING
Volume 164, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.105140
Keywords
Sustainability; Deep uncertainty; Time-dependent uncertainty; Precautionary principle; Stochastic
Categories
Funding
- National Science Foundation [CBET 1854519]
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This study presents perspectives on the role of uncertainty in managing the Earth for global sustainability, derived from talks and discussions at the 2019 TARDIS workshop. It discusses four types of uncertainties encountered in sustainability, ranging from clear enough futures to true surprises, as well as the current state-of-the-art in assessing and mitigating these uncertainties.
The Trans-Atlantic Research and Development Interchange on Sustainability Workshop (TARDIS) is a meeting on scientific topics related to sustainability. The 2019 workshop theme was On the Role of Uncertainty in Managing the Earth for Global Sustainability. This paper presents the perspectives on this topic derived from talks and discussions at the 2019 TARDIS workshop. There are four kinds of uncertainties encountered in sustainability ranging from clear enough futures to true surprises. The current state-of-the-art in assessing and mitigating these uncertainties is discussed.
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