4.5 Review

The potential for complex computational models of aging

Journal

MECHANISMS OF AGEING AND DEVELOPMENT
Volume 193, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

ELSEVIER IRELAND LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.mad.2020.111403

Keywords

Computational model; Stochastic simulation; Machine learning; Synthetic populations

Funding

  1. Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council (NSERC) [RGPIN 2019-05888]
  2. Canadian Institutes of Health Research [PJT-156114]
  3. Dalhousie Medical Research Foundation

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This passage discusses the use of computational models to advance understanding of the aging process, emphasizing the importance of including individual variability and predictive capability in the models. It also highlights the significance and potential of data-driven systems-level models in aging research.
The gradual accumulation of damage and dysregulation during the aging of living organisms can be quantified. Even so, the aging process is complex and has multiple interacting physiological scales - from the molecular to cellular to whole tissues. In the face of this complexity, we can significantly advance our understanding of aging with the use of computational models that simulate realistic individual trajectories of health as well as mortality. To do so, they must be systems-level models that incorporate interactions between measurable aspects of age associated changes. To incorporate individual variability in the aging process, models must be stochastic. To be useful they should also be predictive, and so must be fit or parameterized by data from large populations of aging individuals. In this perspective, we outline where we have been, where we are, and where we hope to go with such computational models of aging. Our focus is on data-driven systems-level models, and on their great potential in aging research.

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