4.7 Article

Transfer Learning for COVID-19 cases and deaths forecast using LSTM network

Journal

ISA TRANSACTIONS
Volume 124, Issue -, Pages 41-56

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.isatra.2020.12.057

Keywords

COVID-19; Long Short Term Memory (LSTM); Time-series-forecast; Transfer Learning; Neural network

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Transfer learning is utilized in LSTM networks to forecast new COVID cases and deaths, showing promising results that can be valuable for policymakers in combating COVID-19.
In this paper, Transfer Learning is used in LSTM networks to forecast new COVID cases and deaths. Models trained in data from early COVID infected countries like Italy and the United States are used to forecast the spread in other countries. Single and multistep forecasting is performed from these models. The results from these models are tested with data from Germany, France, Brazil, India, and Nepal to check the validity of the method. The obtained forecasts are promising and can be helpful for policymakers coping with the threats of COVID-19. (C) 2020 ISA. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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