4.6 Article

COVID-19 mortality risk for older men and women

Journal

BMC PUBLIC HEALTH
Volume 20, Issue 1, Pages -

Publisher

BMC
DOI: 10.1186/s12889-020-09826-8

Keywords

Age; Severe acute respiratory syndrome-CoronaVirus-2; epidemiology; Pandemic; Population health

Funding

  1. NCATS NIH HHS [UL1 TR001863] Funding Source: Medline

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BackgroundCase-fatality from COVID-19 has been reported to be relatively high in patients age 65years or older. We sought to determine the age-specific rates of COVID-19 mortality at the population level.MethodsWe obtained information regarding the total number of COVID-19 reported deaths for six consecutive weeks beginning at the 50th recorded death, among 16 countries that reported a relatively high number of COVID-19 cases as of April 12, 2020. We performed an ecological study to model COVID-19 mortality rates per week by age group (54years or younger, 55-64years, and 65years or older) and sex using a Poisson mixed effects regression model.ResultsOver the six-week period of data, there were 178,568 COVID-19 deaths from a total population of approximately 2.4 billion people. Age and sex were associated with COVID-19 mortality. Compared with individuals ages 54years or younger, the incident rate ratio (IRR) was 8.1, indicating that the mortality rate of COVID-19 was 8.1 times higher (95%CI=7.7, 8.5) among those 55 to 64years, and more than 62 times higher (IRR=62.1; 95%CI=59.7, 64.7) among those ages 65 or older. Mortality rates from COVID-19 were 77% higher in men than in women (IRR=1.77, 95%CI=1.74, 1.79).ConclusionsIn the 16 countries examined, persons age 65years or older had strikingly higher COVID-19 mortality rates compared to younger individuals, and men had a higher risk of COVID-19 death than women.

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