Journal
ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENT
Volume 37, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.envdev.2020.100558
Keywords
Biodiversity; Ecosystem services; Africa; Degradation; Climate change
Categories
Funding
- National Research Foundation of South Africa [98766]
- Guidance for Resilience in the Anthropocene: Investments for Development (GRAID) project - Swedish International Development Agency (Sida)
- Vetenskapsradet in Sweden [621-2014-5137]
- South African Research Chairs Initiative (SARChI) of the Department of Science and Technology
- Korea Agency for Infrastructure Technology Advancement (KAIA) [98766] Funding Source: Korea Institute of Science & Technology Information (KISTI), National Science & Technology Information Service (NTIS)
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Biodiversity and nature's contributions to people are in danger worldwide, particularly in Africa where they are negatively impacted by drivers such as land use and climate change. Among five plausible futures for Africa, prioritizing environment and sustainability is shown as the most likely path to achieving long term development objectives without harming biodiversity and ecosystem services.
Throughout the world, biodiversity and nature's contributions to people are under threat, with clear changes evident. Biodiversity and ecosystem services have particular value in Africa- yet they are negatively impacted by a range of drivers, including land use and climate change. In this communication, we show evidence of changing biodiversity and ecosystem services in Africa, as well as the current most significant drivers of change. We then consider five plausible futures for the African continent, each underlain by differing assumptions. In three out of the five futures under consideration, negative impacts on biodiversity and ecosystem services are likely to persist. Those two plausible futures prioritizing environment and sustainability, however, are shown as the most likely paths to achieving long term development objectives without compromising the continent's biodiversity and ecosystem services. Such a finding shows clearly that achievement of such objectives cannot be separated from full recognition of the value of such services.
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