4.7 Article

Comparing COVID-19 and the 1918-19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom

Journal

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES
Volume 98, Issue -, Pages 67-70

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.06.075

Keywords

COVID-19; 1918-19 influenza; United Kingdom; Multiple waves; Years of life lost

Funding

  1. Research Grants Council (RGC) of Hong Kong, China [15205119]
  2. Alibaba (China) Co., Ltd. - Hong Kong Polytechnic University [P0031768]

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We compared the COVID-19 and 1918-19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom. We found that the ongoing COVID-19 wave of infection matched the major wave of the 1918-19 influenza pandemic surprisingly well, with both reaching similar magnitudes (in terms of estimated weekly new infections) and spending the same duration with over five cases per 1000 inhabitants over the previous two months. We also discussed the similarities in epidemiological characteristics between these two pandemics. (C) 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of International Society for Infectious Diseases.

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