4.7 Article

The weighted average multiexperton

Journal

INFORMATION SCIENCES
Volume 557, Issue -, Pages 355-372

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.ins.2020.08.029

Keywords

Decision support systems; Fuzzy logic; Uncertainty modeling; Experton; Weighted average experton; Weighted average multiexperton

Funding

  1. Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities/FEDER [RTI2018-095518-B-C21]
  2. Chilean Government through CONICYT
  3. Fondecyt Regular program [1160286]

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Experton theory is a generalization of probabilistic set theory that aims to improve expert opinion processing and analysis, producing mathematical objects like expertons; a new aggregative method of several expertons is presented in this paper, providing a new tool for dealing with group decision-making problems and introducing some properties of the new object.
Experton theory, a generalization of probabilistic set theory, that is of great usefulness to group decision analysis, was first proposed as a means of improving the processing and analysis of opinions issued by experts. This theory produces an information-fusion mathematical object, the experton, which can be used in predictive problems to justify decisions based on well-constructed reasoning. The aim of this paper is to present an aggregative method of several expertons, with the idea that some of the groups of experts involved in producing these expertons may have more influence than others in the decisionmaking process. In this article, we carry out an aggregation analysis of expertons, not experts, which culminates in the creation of a new mathematical object. This object, which is called the weighted average multiexperton, is coherent with an experton-type object created from a weighting of the initial data provided by all experts. Since the aggregation method presented has been devised to represent the decision-maker's attitude regarding the importance of different groups of experts, this approach represents a new tool for dealing with group decision-making problems. Additionally, the study presents some properties of the new object. Finally, the paper ends with an application for business decisionmaking. (C) 2020 Published by Elsevier Inc.

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