4.5 Article

A proposed two-stage quarantine containment scheme against spreading of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)

Journal

INDOOR AND BUILT ENVIRONMENT
Volume 31, Issue 5, Pages 1202-1209

Publisher

SAGE PUBLICATIONS LTD
DOI: 10.1177/1420326X20962154

Keywords

Coronavirus; Asymptomatic patients; Quarantine; Containment scheme; Safety management; Mathematical modelling

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This article discusses methods for controlling the spread of the novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, and proposes a two-stage containment scheme for isolating patients and identifying asymptomatic individuals. Using a mathematical approach and estimated parameters, the authors believe that this scheme can effectively control the spread of the virus.
Novel severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is spreading rapidly all over the world with over 23 million infected near the end of August 2020. There are also asymptomatic patients (APs) who are difficult to identify, but they are infectious and believed to be one of the transmission sources. No specific medicine, no vaccine and even no reliable quick identification tests on SARS-CoV-2 are available yet. Workable safety management must be implemented to stop such global pandemic resulting from disease transmission, including those infected through APs. A two-stage containment scheme is proposed with quarantining people into units within blocks. The units inside a block is to be open after being closed for quarantine for an agreed period such as 14 days. The blocks would then be sealed for another period before opening. Argument of the proposal was supported by a simple mathematical approach with parameters deduced from observations on a cruise ship to estimate the infection constant. The proposed containment scheme is believed to be effective in controlling the spreading of SARS-CoV-2 and identifying APs by a more targeted screening test for the suspected group with a more acceptable environment at the second stage of containment.

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