Journal
APPLIED ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES AND POLICY
Volume 43, Issue 1, Pages 270-279Publisher
WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13085
Keywords
COVID-19; Flexibility; Food supply chains; Real options; Switching costs; D22; G32; Q12
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The COVID-19 pandemic revealed critical weaknesses in the US food supply chain, highlighting the importance of supply chain flexibility. Short-term losses during the pandemic could have been avoided by increasing flexibility within supply chains.
The COVID-19 pandemic exposed critical weaknesses in the US food supply chain. Faced with the near-complete loss of the food service distribution channel, stories of wasted food, failing suppliers, and food shortages were common. We argue that the pandemic revealed a fundamental lack of resilience in the food supply chain that, while causing short-term welfare losses, need not have happened, and resulted from a failure of vision rather than a market failure in the traditional sense. We present a model of supply chain flexibility, grounded in real options theory, that demonstrates how firms can increase shareholder value by maintaining flexibility across supply chains. We present an example from the US fresh produce industry (onions) to demonstrate our hypothesis.
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