4.7 Article

Evidence that high temperatures and intermediate relative humidity might favor the spread of COVID-19 in tropical climate: A case study for the most affected Brazilian cities

Journal

SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
Volume 729, Issue -, Pages -

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ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.139090

Keywords

Air temperature; Humidity; Coronavirus; Meteorology; SARS-CoV2; Principal component analysis

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This study aimed to analyze howmeteorological conditions such as temperature, humidity and rainfall can affect the spread of COVID-19 in five Brazilian (Sao Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Brasilia, Manaus and Fortaleza) cities. The cities selectedwere thosewith the largest number of confirmed cases considering data of April 13. Variables such as number of cumulative cases, new daily cases and contamination rate were employed for this study. Our results showed that higher mean temperatures and average relative humidity favored the COVID-19 transmission, differently from reports from coldest countries or periods of time under cool temperatures. Thus, considering the results obtained, intersectoral policies and actions are necessary, mainly in cities where the contamination rate is increasing rapidly. Thus, prevention and protection measures should be adopted in these cities aiming to reduce transmission and the possible collapse of the health system. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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