4.6 Article

Accurate closed-form solution of the SIR epidemic model

Journal

PHYSICA D-NONLINEAR PHENOMENA
Volume 408, Issue -, Pages -

Publisher

ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.physd.2020.132540

Keywords

Approximant; SIR model; Asymptotic analysis; Analytic solution

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An accurate closed-form solution is obtained to the SIR Epidemic Model through the use of Asymptotic Approximants (Barlow et al., 2017). The solution is created by analytically continuing the divergent power series solution such that it matches the long-time asymptotic behavior of the epidemic model. The utility of the analytical form is demonstrated through its application to the COVID-19 pandemic. (C) 2020 Elsevier V. All rights reserved.

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