Prognostic Value of Histologic Classification of ANCA-Associated Glomerulonephritis

Background and objectives A kidney biopsy is preferred for the diagnosis of ANCA-associated vasculitis with renal involvement. The aim of our study was to evaluate the prognostic value of a histopathologic classification scheme recently proposed by an international consortium of renal pathologists in a large Norwegian cohort. Design, setting, participants, & measurements Patients diagnosed with ANCA-associated GN were included from the Norwegian Kidney Biopsy Registry 1991-2012. Renal morphology was classified as focal, mixed, crescentic, or sclerotic. Study end point was ESRD. Patients were followed from kidney biopsy to end of 2012. Results Two hundred fifty patients with >= 10 glomeruli in the biopsy were included in our study. During a median follow-up of 3.5 years (0.7-7.6), 60 cases of ESRD occurred. Ninety-six (38%) biopsies were classified as focal, 61 (24%) biopsies were classified as mixed, 71 (28%) biopsies were classified as crescentic, and 22 (9%) biopsies were classified as sclerotic; 1- and 5-year cumulative renal survival rates were 96% and 90%, respectively, for the focal class, 86% and 75%, respectively, for the mixed class, 81% and 69%, respectively, for the crescentic class, and 56% and 51%, respectively, for the sclerotic class. By multivariate Cox regression analyses, the sclerotic class had a significantly worse renal prognosis than the focal (hazard ratio, 9.65; 95% confidence interval, 2.38 to 39.16) or combined mixed/crescentic classes (hazard ratio, 3.27; 95% confidence interval, 1.41 to 7.61), but no significant differences in outcome were observed in the crescentic class compared with the mixed class (hazard ratio, 1.13; 95% confidence interval, 0.44 to 2.87) or the combined mixed/crescentic class compared with the focal class (hazard ratio, 1.93; 95% confidence interval, 0.61 to 6.12). Accuracy by receiver operator characteristic curve analysis was estimated to be 0.72 (95% confidence interval, 0.65 to 0.80). In 108 additional patients with three to nine glomeruli in the biopsy, the prognostic value of this classification scheme was unchanged. Conclusions The histopathologic classification is a predictor of renal outcome of moderate quality. Merging the mixed and crescentic classes in the future could simplify the scheme.