4.3 Article

Estimation of the expected value of the arrival epochs given a bounded period of observation for the homogeneous and non-homogeneous Poisson processes

Journal

JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL COMPUTATION AND SIMULATION
Volume 90, Issue 17, Pages 3250-3259

Publisher

TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/00949655.2020.1800707

Keywords

Homogeneous Poisson process; non-homogeneous Poisson process; conditional arrival epochs; expected value; bounded period

Funding

  1. CONACYT through PNPC scholarship

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In this paper, we derive analytical expressions of the expected value of the arrival epochs given a bounded period of observation for the homogeneous Poisson process (HPP) and for the general case of a non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP). These expressions are exact, but their applicability require some computational adaptations. We illustrate the results obtained through the proposed expression by comparing them with Monte Carlo sampling. The results show that these expressions outperform Monte Carlo in precision and computational effort.

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