Hepatocellular carcinoma incidence post direct-acting antivirals in hepatitis C-related advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis patients in Australia

Background: Despite efficacy in HCV eradication, direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy has raised controversies around their impact on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence. Herein we reported the first Australian data on HCC incidence in DAA-treated HCV patients with advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis. Methods: We conducted a retrospective single center study of DAA-treated HCV patients with advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis from April 2015 to December 2017. Patients with prior HCC were included if they had complete response to HCC treatment. Results: Among 138 patients who completed DAA therapy, 133 (96.4%) achieved sustained virologic response (median follow-up 23.8 months). Ten had prior HCC and 5/10 (50.0%) developed recurrence, while de novo HCC developed in 7/128 (5.5%). Median time from DAA to HCC diagnosis was 34 weeks in recurrent HCC vs. de novo 52 weeks (P = 0.159). In patients with prior HCC, those with recurrence (vs. without) had shorter median time between last HCC treatment and DAA (12 vs. 164 weeks, P < 0.001). On bivariate analysis, failed sustained virologic response at 12 weeks (SVR12) (P = 0.011), platelets (P = 0.005), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score (P = 0.029), alpha fetoprotein (AFP) (P = 0.013), and prior HCC (P < 0.001) were associated with HCC post-DAA. On multivariate analysis, significant factors were prior HCC (OR = 4.80; 95% CI: 1.47-48.50; P = 0.010), failed SVR12 (OR = 2.83; 95% CI: 1.71-16.30; P = 0.016) and platelets (OR = 0.97; 95% CI: 0.95-0.99; P = 0.009). Conclusions: Our study demonstrates a high incidence of recurrent HCC in HCV patients with advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis treated with DAA. Factors associated with HCC development post-DAA were more advanced liver disease, failed SVR12 and prior HCC, with higher rates of recurrence in those who started DAA earlier. (C) 2020 First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine in China. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.