Journal
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
Volume 15, Issue 9, Pages -Publisher
IOP Publishing Ltd
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab9ecf
Keywords
irrigation; climate change; heat; humidity
Funding
- NOAA [NA16SEC4810008, NA15OAR4310080]
- United States Agency for International Development (USAID) under the U.S.-Pakistan Centers for Advanced Studies in Water
- NASA Modeling, Analysis, and Prediction program (NASA) [80NSSC17K0265]
- NASA High-End Computing (HEC) Program through the NASA Center for Climate Simulation (NCCS) at Goddard Space Flight Center
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Most studies of irrigation as an anthropogenic climate forcing focus on its cooling effects. However, irrigation also increases humidity, and so may not ameliorate humid heat and its extremes. We analyzed global climate model results over hot locations and seasons at high temporal resolution to estimate the impact of irrigation on humid heat extremes, quantified as different percentiles of wet-bulb temperature (T-w), under contemporary conditions. We found that although irrigation reduced temperature, the median and higher percentiles of T-w on average did not decrease. Increases in T-w percentile values and increases in frequency of dangerous T-w of several days per year due to irrigation were found in some densely populated regions, including the central United States and the Middle East, while the Ganges basin saw reduced T-w. Changes in T-w were partly associated with the differential regional impacts of irrigation on moisture transport. These results underline the importance of considering impacts of climate forcings on humidity as well as temperature in evaluating associated effects on heat extremes.
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