4.6 Article

CO Emissions Inferred From Surface CO Observations Over China in December 2013 and 2017

Journal

Publisher

AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1029/2019JD031808

Keywords

EnKF data assimilation; CO emission; inversion; WRF; CMAQ model; emission changes

Funding

  1. National Key R&D Program of China [2016YFA0600204]
  2. National Natural Science Foundation of China [41571452]
  3. Nanjing University Innovation and Creative Program for Ph.D. candidate [CXCY19-60]
  4. NCAR
  5. EPA

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China has implemented active clean air policies in recent years, and the spatiotemporal patterns of major pollutant emissions have changed substantially. In this study, we construct a regional air pollution data assimilation system based on the WRF/CMAQ model and ensemble Kalman filter algorithm to quantitatively optimize gridded CO emissions using hourly surface CO measurements over China. The Multi-resolution Emission Inventory of China CO emission inventories in December 2012 and 2016 are treated as prior emissions, and the CO emissions in December 2013 and 2017 are optimized using the CO observations of December of 2013 and 2017, respectively. The results show that in both periods, assimilation of CO observations significantly improves the CO simulations and emission estimates. Assimilation increases the CO emissions in most areas of mainland China, especially in northern China, and the spatial patterns of the increases in the two periods are similar. Overall, the posterior CO emissions in December 2017 are 17% lower than those in December 2013. Large emission decreases are mainly found in most key urban areas and developed regions, and emission increases are mainly located in their surrounding areas and certain central and western regions, which might reflect the emission migration from developed regions or urban areas to developing regions or surrounding areas. These changes are not found in the prior emissions but are basically consistent with the emission control strategies and industrial transformation and upgrade phenomena in recent years, indicating that our CO assimilation system could successfully capture the temporal and spatial variations.

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