Predictors of non-pulmonary vein foci in paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

Purpose Progress of balloon devices for pulmonary vein (PV) isolation in atrial fibrillation (AF) has been remarkable. However, these techniques were specialized in pulmonary vein treatment; predicting non-PV foci in advance is important to decide the treatment strategy. In this study, we investigate the predictors for paroxysmal AF. Methods Subjects were consecutive paroxysmal AF patients who underwent high-dose isoproterenol provocation after PV isolation in the first session. The PV group (n = 102) and non-PV group (n = 222) were defined as the patients with and without non-PV ablation, respectively. Non-PV ablation was performed when frequent repetitive premature atrial contractions or triggered AF occurred spontaneously or by isoproterenol provocation. Predictors of non-PV origin in paroxysmal AF patients were examined using clinical characteristics and preoperative echocardiography. Results In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, female sex, body mass index (BMI < 23.8), absence of hypertension, and higher ratio of mitral early diastolic peak (E-wave) to early diastolic mitral annulus peak (e') velocity (E/e' > 8.44) were significant independent predictors of non-PV foci (hazard ratio 2.04, 1.88, 3.63, and 2.33; 95% confidence interval 1.17-3.55, 1.05-3.39, 1.72-7.67, and 1.34-4.05;p = 0.011, 0.035, < 0.001, and 0.003, respectively). If a patient had these four factors, non-PV was detected with 96.8% specificity. Conclusion Female sex, lower BMI, absence of hypertension, and higher E/e' were significant indicators of non-PV foci in patients with paroxysmal AF. Reviewing these factors in advance may be useful for selecting a device to perform pulmonary vein isolation.

Automated summary

The study identified female gender, lower BMI, absence of hypertension, and higher E/e' ratio as significant predictors of non-PV foci in patients with paroxysmal AF. Having all four factors was associated with 96.8% specificity in detecting non-PV foci. These factors could be useful in selecting a device for performing pulmonary vein isolation.