4.6 Article Proceedings Paper

Heterogeneous structural breaks in panel data models

Journal

JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS
Volume 220, Issue 2, Pages 447-473

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCIENCE SA
DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.04.009

Keywords

Panel data; Grouped patterns; Structural breaks; Grouped fixed effects; Fused Lasso

Funding

  1. Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) under KAKENHI [16K03598, 15H03329]
  2. New Faculty Startup Grant of Seoul National University
  3. Housing and Commercial Bank Economic Research Fund for Institute of Economic Research of Seoul National University
  4. Erasmus University Rotterdam fellowship
  5. Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research [16K03598, 15H03329] Funding Source: KAKEN

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This paper introduces a new model and estimation procedure for panel data to identify heterogeneous structural breaks. By developing a hybrid estimation procedure that combines fixed effects approach and adaptive group fused Lasso, it can consistently identify latent group structure and demonstrate good performance in finite samples.
This paper develops a new model and estimation procedure for panel data that allows us to identify heterogeneous structural breaks. We model individual heterogeneity using a grouped pattern. For each group, we allow common structural breaks in the coefficients. However, the number, timing, and size of these breaks can differ across groups. We develop a hybrid estimation procedure of the grouped fixed effects approach and adaptive group fused Lasso. We show that our method can consistently identify the latent group structure, detect structural breaks, and estimate the regression parameters. Monte Carlo results demonstrate the good performance of the proposed method in finite samples. An empirical application to the relationship between income and democracy illustrates the importance of considering heterogeneous structural breaks. (c) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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