4.7 Editorial Material

Predictive Mathematical Models of the COVID-19 Pandemic Underlying Principles and Value of Projections

Journal

JAMA-JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION
Volume 323, Issue 19, Pages 1893-1894

Publisher

AMER MEDICAL ASSOC
DOI: 10.1001/jama.2020.6585

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This Viewpoint discusses the challenges of accurately modeling the COVID-19 pandemic and reviews principles that will make some models more useful than others, such as use of granular local data when available, regular updating and revision, and specification of uncertainty around estimates.

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