Journal
JOURNAL OF CLINICAL MEDICINE
Volume 9, Issue 2, Pages -Publisher
MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/jcm9020330
Keywords
epidemiology; foreigner; travel; migration; importation; emerging infectious diseases
Categories
Funding
- Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development (AMED) [JP18fk0108050]
- Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) KAKENHI [17H04701, 17H05808, 18H04895, 19H01074, 18J21587]
- Inamori Foundation
- Japan Science and Technology Agency (JST) CREST program [JPMJCR1413]
- Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Japan
- Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research [18J21587] Funding Source: KAKEN
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A cluster of pneumonia cases linked to a novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) was reported by China in late December 2019. Reported case incidence has now reached the hundreds, but this is likely an underestimate. As of 24 January 2020, with reports of thirteen exportation events, we estimate the cumulative incidence in China at 5502 cases (95% confidence interval: 3027, 9057). The most plausible number of infections is in the order of thousands, rather than hundreds, and there is a strong indication that untraced exposures other than the one in the epidemiologically linked seafood market in Wuhan have occurred.
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